Highlights by David Willden
The Author Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has an impressive background:
Bruce writes that "accurate predication relies on science, not artistry---and certainly not the sleight of hand. It is a reflection of the power of logic and evidence, and testimony to the progress being made in demystifying the world of human thought and decision."
The author qualifies his model and approach by sharing that "according to a declassified C.I.A. assessment, the predictions for which I've been responsible have a 90 percent accuracy rate." Later on he states that he has"hit the bull's key about twice as often as the government's experts who provided me with data."
You show up to the dealership. In game theory, showing up at a dealership puts you at a disadvantage in finding a good bargain. It is a signal that you are a captive consumer who will like make a purchase. Once at the dealership, a game is used to maximize the changes that you purchase a car. Changes are you will.
If you follow a few simple steps, you are more likely to get a good deal. First of all, know what model and features you want. Second, call several dealers and tell them you plan to purchase a car by the end of the day and are shopping around. Tell them exactly what model and features you are looking at, and ask what price they can give you. They will try and sell you extras. Be clear ahead of time of what you want. Why call over the phone? A phone dismisses many of the body language messages you convey - even if you don't know it. Call several dealers.